Thursday, July 28, 2011

Obama to warn of 'incalculable damage' if no debt deal (AFP)

WASHINGTON (AFP) ? US President Barack Obama stepped up the pressure on Republicans over the US debt crisis, scheduling a rare primetime speech to warn of "incalculable damage" if a compromise is not reached.

Obama's warning Monday, previewed by a White House official, came as Republican and Democratic leaders of Congress remained deadlocked over a plan to raise the US debt ceiling and deal with the country's ballooning deficits.

The prospect of the world's richest country running out of cash to pay its bills come August 2 sent stocks sliding and gold soaring while the IMF warned of a "severe shock" to the world economy absent an elusive breakthrough.

"President Obama, like Democratic and Republican presidents before him, will make clear that failure to compromise and raise the debt ceiling would, in the words of former president Reagan, do 'incalculable damage'," the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

"With eight days until deadline, compromise is the only reasonable path ahead to keep our economy strong and growing," the official said.

Obama's 9:00 pm (0100 GMT) speech from the White House's ornate East Room would be only his seventh formal address to the nation, and the first since he unveiled a timeline for a US troop withdrawal from Afghanistan in June.

The address came with Democrats who control the Senate and Republicans who lead the House of Representatives at odds over rival plans for raising the $14.3 trillion US debt limit, allowing cash-strapped Washington to stay open.

Washington hit its debt ceiling on May 16 but has used spending and accounting adjustments, as well as higher-than-expected tax receipts, to continue operating normally but can only do so through August 2.

At that point, US leaders will face an agonizing choice about cutting an estimated 40 cents of every dollar in spending and defaulting either on debt payments or on other obligations like government health or retirement benefits.

Finance and business leaders have warned that failure to raise the US debt ceiling by then would send shockwaves through the fragile world economy, while Obama has predicted a default would trigger economic "Armageddon."

All sides in the dispute agree Washington must reduce its deficit but disagree on the size and blend of spending cuts and revenue increases as well as on how and whether to slice into the social safety net.

"We need to make the right decision now, and we need to do it because the economy is on the line," Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid warned with the polarized US Congress seemingly no nearer to a breakthrough.

Reid and Republican House Speaker John Boehner have presented rival strategies to raise the US debt limit, deflate the swollen US budget deficit, and ensure Washington can continue to pay its bills.

The plans differed in one critical, politically divisive aspect: Reid's would meet Obama's goal of raising the debt ceiling enough to avoid another politically painful standoff before his November 2012 re-election bid.

Boehner -- who has flatly rejected Obama's call for tax hikes on the rich and on wealthy corporations -- envisioned a two-step process with increases first to February or March 2012, and later to 2013.

"Time is running short and it would be irresponsible for the president to veto this common-sense plan and run the risk of default. I would encourage the Senate to pass this plan and the president to sign it," said Boehner.

Obama was expected to use his address to prop up Reid's plan, which Republicans have vowed to kill when both strategies face midweek votes. Boehner was to speak after Obama.

Weighed down by the impasse, US stock markets fell and safe-haven Swiss francs soared amid worries about both the dollar and the euro, while gold climbed to a record $1,624 an ounce before falling back slightly to $1,614.

The dollar lost 1.6 percent to the Swiss franc while US Treasury prices fell -- though not enough to signal panic in the bond markets. The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 3.00 percent from 2.96 percent late on Friday.

"The odds that the United States will face a ratings downgrade, even if the debt ceiling is raised, have clearly risen," said Nigel Gault of IHS Global Insight, referring to Washington's sterling Triple-A debt rating.

The market worries came as US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton promised during a trip to Asia that "intense" wrangling among the White House, its Democratic allies, and Republican foes would reach an 11th-hour compromise.

"I am confident that Congress will do the right thing and secure a deal on the debt ceiling and work with President Obama to take steps to improve our long-term fiscal outlook," Clinton said in Hong Kong.

The International Monetary Fund pressed US politicians to raise the debt ceiling "expeditiously to avoid a severe shock to the US economy and world financial markets" with the deadline now looming large.

The IMF warned that US debt would total 99 percent of the size of the US economy this year and 103.0 percent in 2012, and urged a blend of spending cuts, tax revenue increases, and reductions in cherished social safety net programs.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/obama/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20110726/ts_alt_afp/useconomypoliticspublicdebt

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